I hit upon a idea about comparing the various Linux distros based on forum statistics. I visited the forums of various popular distros (openSUSE, Fedora, Debian, Mint, Arch, Ubuntu) and then collected the stats displayed on the forums home page.
Raw Data
The first step involved collecting raw data about the number of registered members in each forum and other stuff like number of threads , no of active users etc: I couldn't find active users statistics for all forums and each distro preferred to use a different bulletin board software. I collected screenshots of the stats too as shown below.
Registered Users :- The number of users in each forum may be taken as some sort of rudimentary proof of popularity of a distro. Ubuntu takes the first place which should not surprise anyone. Fedora and Debian are neck and neck and both of them take the next two places.
Distro
Members
Ubuntu
1762103
Fedora
139147
Debian
132589
Mint
81833
openSUSE
71137
Arch
44823
No of Threads :- This set of stats threw up a few surprises. openSUSE took third place in the list. I guess old threads were archived by some of the forums.
Distro
Threads
Ubuntu
1906499
Fedora
267719
openSUSE
175115
Arch
148545
Mint
108243
Debian
69950
No of Threads per member :- I think this stat should tell as to whether the distro is able to sustain interest with its users over longer periods of time. We find that Ubuntu does poorly in this regard. May be unity had a role to play in this. Arch and openSUSE seem to paying more attention to their much smaller communities than some of the more popular distros.
Distro
Members
Threads
Mem Vs Thr (Thr/Mem)
Arch
44823
148545
3.3140352051
openSUSE
71137
175115
2.46165849
Fedora
139147
267719
1.9240012361
Mint
81833
108243
1.3227304388
Ubuntu
1762103
1906499
1.0819452665
Debian
132589
69950
0.5275701604
Conclusion:- It is not enough that a distro is popular . It should pay heed to the needs of its community. All the stats presented are subjective and should be taken with a pinch of salt as many of the distros have been known to conduct day to day discussions on IRC and mailing lists too. It is not being taken into account here :-)
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